Department of Tourism, Culture and Recreation
Backgrounder
Where Do the Newfoundland & Labrador
Travel/Tourism Numbers Come From?

Introduction:

  • This backgrounder provides an overview of the Newfoundland and Labrador Travel/Tourism Indicators and how the Department of Tourism, Culture and Recreation estimates travel volumes and associated expenditures for any given year. This overview consists of a description and listing of the travel/tourism indicators and the data sources used to calculate annual travel volumes and associated expenditures. This latter information is illustrated with examples for the 1997 travel/tourism season.

The Travel/Tourism Indicators

  • The Strategic Planning and Policy Division, Department of Tourism, Culture and Recreation, is responsible for the maintenance of a travel/tourism data base that permits the monitoring of various travel/tourism statistical indicators. This is achieved through the co-operation of many industry stakeholders and Departmental staff who provide data to the Division on a regular basis. These indicators are compiled monthly and reviewed at mid-season and year-end. This allows for month-over-month and year-over-year comparisons, as well as for tracking and monitoring long-term trends.

Primary Indicators (used in conjunction with exit surveys to estimate levels of non-resident visits and expenditures)

  • Marine Atlantic Traffic Reports for Port aux Basques and Argentia
  • Agriculture Canada (Census of Motor Vehicle data) for Port aux Basques and Argentia
  • Boarding Passengers statistics by Airline and Airport
  • Trip itinerary and passenger data provided by the Cruise Ship Authority of Newfoundland and Labrador (CANAL).

Secondary Indicators

  • Deplaning Passenger statistics by Airline and Airport
  • Transport Canada Airport Traffic Statistics by Atlantic Canada Airport
  • Provincial Chalet Visitation (overall and by facility)
  • Provincial Historic Site Visitation (overall and by facility)
  • Cape St. Mary’s Visitation
  • Provincial Park Statistics (overall, by region and by facility)
  • Direct International Arrivals (St. John’s Customs Office)
  • Passenger Arrivals (Fortune Customs Office)
  • Labrador Straits Ferry
  • Provincial Museum Visitation (overall and by facility)
  • National Park Visitation (Terra Nova and Gros Morne)
  • National Historic Sites (by site)
  • Car Rental Revenue (St. John’s Airport)
  • Provincial Archive Visitation
  • Skier Visits (Marble Mountain)
  • Exiting Bus Traffic via Marine Atlantic
  • Salmonier Nature Park
  • Labrador West VIC Visits
  • Colony of Avalon (Ferryland)
  • City of St. John’s Railcar and ACVB Visitor Centre
  • Accommodations Database maintained by the Strategic Planning and Policy Division, Department of Tourism, Culture and Recreation, under the Tourism Establishment Act and Regulations. This is a monthly census of roofed accommodations and commercial campgrounds based on data remitted from licenced operators.
  • Accommodation Trends (National Survey administered by Pannell Kerr Forster "Trends in the Canadian Hotel Industry")
  • Accommodations Statistics, St. John’s Avalon Convention and Visitors Bureau (eight major hotels in St. John’s).

The Non-Resident Numbers

1. Non-Resident Automobile Volumes and Expenditures

Data Sources:

  • Marine Atlantic Traffic Reports- This monthly traffic report supplied by Marine Atlantic outlines by port and direction, the volumes of entering and exiting passengers and passenger related vehicles.

  • Census of Motor Vehicle Reports- This monthly report supplied by Canadian Food and Inspection Agency (CFIA) is a census (count) by origin of all vehicle licence plates inspected at the vehicle inspection stations in Port aux Basques or Argentia. The non-resident and resident proportions of exiting volumes are estimated using this data.

  • Latest Auto Exit Survey- This survey is conducted at intervals under the direction of the Strategic Planning and Policy Division, Department of Tourism, Culture and Recreation. The primary purpose of this survey is to collect various trip and visitor characteristics including origin of visitors and expenditure patterns for a sample of non-resident automobile visitors. The last auto exit survey was implemented between mid-June and October 31, 1997. A new, 12-month survey is underway in 2003/04 and will be reported in early 2005. At that time, travel volumes and associated expenditures will be re-calculated using updated survey information.

  • Statistics Canada- This agency provides the Travel Price Index (TPI) to the department. It is a function of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) isolating only the travel/tourism components. This index is utilized in non-survey years to aid in the calculation of non-resident expenditures.

Example Calculation for the 1997 Non-Resident Automobile Volumes

  A B C

Month

Exiting Passengers

Non-Resident %

# of Non-Residents

January

7,399

0.595

4,402

February

4,467

0.470

2,099

March

7,798

0.425

3,314

April

8,038

0.334

2,685

May

11,343

0.352

3,993

June

18,914

0.505

9,543

July

44,051

0.678

29,865

August

59,952

0.677

40,615

September

20,159

0.642

12,949

October

12,709

0.569

7,231

November

6,446

0.453

2,920

December

6,091

0.461

2,808

Total

207,367

 

122,425

Column

A: From the monthly Marine Atlantic Traffic Reports
B
: From the monthly Census of Motor Vehicle Counts by Agriculture Canada
C
: Column A X Column B, then summed for an estimate of Non-Resident Automobile Visitors

Note: This calculation is usually done by port of exit (Port Aux Basques or Argentia) and then combined.

Example Calculation for the 1997 Non-Resident Automobile Expenditures

  • Data collected in the 1997 auto exit survey indicates that the average expenditure per non-resident automobile visitor was $459.
  • Total In-province expenditures = 122,425 X $459 = $56,193,100

Note: This calculation is usually done by origin of the visitor and then totalled.

A Couple of Assumptions for Non-Resident Automobile Visitors and Expenditures

  • The distribution of exiting vehicles is equal to the distribution of exiting passengers.
  • Trip/Visitor expenditure levels and patterns during the survey period can be utilized during off survey time periods.

Origin Groupings

  • Nova Scotia
  • New Brunswick
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Quebec
  • Ontario
  • Western Canada (Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, British Columbia, NWT and Yukon)
  • New England States (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont)
  • Mid Atlantic States (New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania)
  • East North Central States (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin)
  • South Atlantic States (Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia)
  • Other USA (all states not included in the above groupings)
  • Foreign Countries

Reporting Period

  • Non-resident auto volumes and expenditures are normally prepared for two time periods; June to September and January to December. It should be noted that the methodology allows for reporting on a monthly basis.

2. Non-Resident Air Volumes and Expenditures

Data Sources:

  • Boarding Passenger Statistics- Monthly traffic reports supplied by the various airlines serving the province provides the volume of passengers boarding aircraft at the province’s six major airports- St. John’s, Gander, Deer Lake, Stephenville, Wabush and Goose Bay.

  • Latest Air Exit Survey- This regular survey is conducted under the direction of the Strategic Planning and Policy Division, Department of Tourism, Culture and Recreation. The primary purpose is to collect various trip and visitor characteristics including the non-resident and resident shares of boarding passengers, the origin of visitors and expenditure patterns for a sample of non-resident air visitors. The last air exit survey was implemented between mid June and October 31, 1997. A new, 12-month survey is underway in 2003/04 and will be reported in early 2005. At that time, travel volumes and associated expenditures will be re-calculated using updated survey information.

  • Statistics Canada- This agency provides the Travel Price Index (TPI) to the department. It is a function of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) isolating only the travel/tourism components. This index is utilized in non-survey years to aid in the calculation of non-resident expenditures.

Example Calculation for the 1997 Non-Resident Air Volumes

  • Due to confidentiality requirements the data presented in the following table is for illustration purposes only and does not reflect the actual/real situation.
  A B C D

Airline

Boarding Passengers

Eligible Proportion

Non-Resident %

# of Non-Residents

Airline 1

2,000

0.4557

0.3111

284

Airline 2

79,500

0.9292

0.5422

40,053

Airline 3

162,900

0.9194

0.2798

41,906

Airline 4

139,500

0.9550

0.1111

14,809

Airline 5

116,200

0.9359

0.4455

48,449

Total

500,100

 

 

145,501

Column

A. From the monthly Boarding Passenger Statistics reported by the various airlines and airport.
B.
From the latest air exit survey. Boarding passengers are reduced to reflect in-eligible travellers such as commuting to work etc.

C
: From the latest air exit survey. The volume of non-resident travellers
D
: Column A X Column B X Column C, then summed for an estimate of Non-Resident Air Visitors

Note: This calculation is usually done by month by airline and airport and then combined.

Example Calculation for the 1997 Non-Resident Air Expenditures

  • Data collected in the 1997 air exit survey indicates that the average expenditure per non-resident air visitor was $605.
  • Total In-province expenditures = 145,501 X $605 = $88,028,100

Note: This calculation is usually done by origin of the visitor and then totalled.

A Couple of Assumptions for Non-Resident Air Visitors and Expenditures

  • The share of eligible travellers and the proportions of boarding passengers that are non-resident or resident travellers reported during the survey period can be utilized during off survey periods.
  • Trip/Visitor expenditure levels and patterns during the survey period can be utilized during off survey time periods.

Origin Groupings

  • Nova Scotia
  • New Brunswick
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Quebec
  • Ontario
  • Western Canada (Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, British Columbia, NWT and Yukon)
  • New England States (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont)
  • Mid Atlantic States (New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania)
  • East North Central States (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin)
  • South Atlantic States (Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia)
  • Other USA (all states not included in the above groupings)
  • Foreign Countries

Reporting Period

  • Non-resident air volumes and expenditures are normally prepared for two time periods; June to September and January to December. It should be noted that the methodology allows for reporting on a monthly basis.

3. Non-Resident Cruise Volumes and Expenditures

Data Sources:

  • Visitor Statistics and Expenditures- Data for non-resident cruise visitors is based on trip itinerary and passenger data provided by the Cruise Ship Authority of Newfoundland and Labrador (CANAL). Estimates reflect activity during the full cruise season and represents a departmental estimate of non-resident individuals. This differs from overall passenger visits reported by CANAL due to multiple port visits by some cruise ships.

  • Cruise Expenditures is based on survey data collected by the Economic Development and Tourism Department, City of St. John’s. Expenditures reflect spending by passengers on shopping, restaurants, dockside tours and shore excursions. The economic impact associated with cruise ship visits to the province is much larger and includes for example port fees and pilotage fees.

The Resident Numbers

Data Source:

  • C The province currently utilizes the Canada Travel Survey for estimating in-province trips and expenditures by Newfoundland and Labrador residents.

  • C The 2001 Canada Travel Survey indicates that residents took 2, 901,000 overnight and same day trips with associated expenditures of $512.4 million.

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